TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$440,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers53c104,709$55,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,264.9636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Golden Knights48c60,755$29,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,471.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Golden Knights47c52,642$24,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,900.410745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Golden Knights47c45,176$21,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,943.1816645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Oilers52c30,046$15,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,623.764139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Oilers12c19,580$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3903243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Oilers52c15,715$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.1731546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights54c13,946$7,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,456.7292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights56c13,496$7,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,985.0911441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Oilers55c9,830$5,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,406.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Golden Knights48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16010343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Oilers52c7,852$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.9823642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers54c7,590$4,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0751,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers53c7,326$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.751,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Golden Knights45c7,110$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers33c5,957$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.254852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Golden Knights24c5,596$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.3229319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers52c5,555$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.765147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers53c5,312$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.1466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights46c4,406$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.339752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers53c4,000$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1051,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Golden Knights48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0801118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Golden Knights77c3,464$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.5725340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights66c3,396$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights44c3,264$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.9658467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights59c3,177$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.172,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Oilers31c3,111$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.091942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Oilers53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5902334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Oilers2c2,990$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.844848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers36c2,772$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.7625555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c42…f381backed Oilers1c2,608$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights47c2,315$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.291,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights51c2,260$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.571,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights46c2,203$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.4448050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ce…7e7fbacked Golden Knights47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers6c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers54c2,000$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.1285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x002d…c2a5backed Golden Knights47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6efd…aa49backed Golden Knights47c1,999$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Oilers40c1,951$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.3210739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4e4…2b48backed Golden Knights47c1,950$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Golden Knights45c1,940$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0671560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Golden Knights51c1,915$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.129750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe19b…b767backed Golden Knights45c1,900$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb47…f93ebacked Golden Knights45c1,900$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights47c1,852$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Oilers29c1,735$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.119438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights46c1,715$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.2472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Golden Knights42c1,668$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.9237738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Golden Knights48c1,610$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.924143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Golden Knights68c1,561$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6613348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Oilers53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79524546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Oilers55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Golden Knights45c1,488$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights47c1,349$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.411,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Golden Knights48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Golden Knights75c1,146$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.055947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Oilers53c1,100$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9920649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x311f…70fbbacked Oilers53c1,094$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Oilers53c1,058$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbf…dbf5backed Oilers42c1,038$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Golden Knights48c1,035$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.629747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e0d4backed Oilers53c1,009$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4c…d267backed Oilers53c1,008$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b3…f937backed Oilers53c1,006$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Golden Knights48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Golden Knights48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3efc…5e48backed Oilers53c992$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe556…2416backed Oilers53c991$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef5…a7debacked Oilers53c977$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a0…8e5dbacked Oilers53c972$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f1…f1a9backed Oilers55c971$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…8d36backed Oilers55c964$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3b…7cf5backed Oilers55c936$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb2…7a7abacked Oilers55c929$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…9cafbacked Oilers54c927.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights47c875.68$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Oilers3c855.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Oilers60c834.13$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Oilers55c805.53$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Golden Knights74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Oilers14c798.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.882339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Golden Knights45c780$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Golden Knights73c779.22$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.181580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2247…52d1backed Oilers58c757.16$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.22540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Golden Knights50c749.99$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.55534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Golden Knights80c716.79$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d9…ef84backed Oilers56c640.2$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Golden Knights48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32514542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers52c624.08$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Golden Knights74c622.18$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.69550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers53c590$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.78854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights47c582.81$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe116…73dfbacked Oilers52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Golden Knights20c571.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8918237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfd4b…fcd5backed Oilers53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Golden Knights46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4812556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Golden Knights48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.442751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Oilers70c513.66$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.