NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe754eb3cccfefec349400e3f531d4f3adc44fba4c519799ae69e9aa810cd487e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Sabres, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 668 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Sabres | 48c | 326,864$156,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,894.84 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 48c | 102,904$49,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,633.89 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 52c | 102,655$53,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,274.58 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators | 52c | 71,106$36,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,130.85 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 52c | 38,673$20,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,562.88 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 52c | 38,557$20,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,528.66 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 49c | 23,433$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,032.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 52c | 16,672$8,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.77 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Sabres | 49c | 13,475$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 51c | 12,986$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Senators | 57c | 12,073$6,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.14 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Senators | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Sabres | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.84 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 53c | 7,681$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.13 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Senators | 52c | 6,551$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.54 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Senators | 51c | 6,487$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.44 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 52c | 6,105$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Senators | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 51c | 5,829$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 48c | 5,404$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.76 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 76c | 4,689$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 75c | 4,595$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.58 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sabres | 22c | 4,374$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.09 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Senators | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Senators | 53c | 3,961$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.13 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sabres | 24c | 3,605$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.65 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 52c | 3,334$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.32 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Senators | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.81 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 48c | 3,237$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.39 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Sabres | 48c | 2,756$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 52c | 2,537$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 51c | 2,527$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Senators | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Senators | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Sabres | 49c | 2,290$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.46 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Sabres | 48c | 2,046$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.95 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Senators | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Senators | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 54c | 1,918$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.16 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Sabres | 48c | 1,863$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres | 41c | 1,850$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Senators | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 59c | 1,699$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Sabres | 30c | 1,633$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 49c | 1,555$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.28 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 27c | 1,439$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 50c | 1,411$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Senators | 52c | 1,311$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Senators | 47c | 1,256$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.49 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Senators | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sabres | 36c | 1,109$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sabres | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…d7a9backed Sabres | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Sabres | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sabres | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Senators | 39c | 1,025$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Senators | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Senators | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sabres | 48c | 960$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Senators | 45c | 949.52$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.88 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Senators | 46c | 944.23$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.89 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 52c | 937.14$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 52c | 925.4$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Sabres | 48c | 918.47$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.87 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Senators | 47c | 873.93$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Senators | 51c | 865.17$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Senators | 53c | 811.68$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Senators | 51c | 810$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Senators | 55c | 776.09$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sabres | 6c | 749.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Senators | 52c | 747.88$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.52 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Sabres | 48c | 691.87$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sabres | 27c | 683.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…9a99backed Sabres | 56c | 636.86$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Sabres | 48c | 623.52$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.29 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Sabres | 49c | 607.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…7253backed Sabres | 48c | 604.17$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Senators | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Senators | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Sabres | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Senators | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.55 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Sabres | 38c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Senators | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres | 46c | 562.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Senators | 42c | 548.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Senators | 46c | 547.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…7fe3backed Senators | 53c | 523$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Senatorsthis page
- Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.