Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef34d5c7937cb8a1eb22234ddce8fe3eb1595e1f35c7d4f2101c58f3506e580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,052,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,063,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,052,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 2,241,921$24,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,409.74 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 3c | 2,230,764$70,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,562.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…514fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,554,816$43,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,428 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 1c | 942,667$12,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,852.76 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 2c | 870,307$15,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,105.91 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…da02backed Yes | 1c | 757,953$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,282.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…1574backed Yes | 1c | 727,580$9,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 3c | 575,000$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,599.82 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…88a6backed Yes | 1c | 479,247$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a0…3839backed Yes | 1c | 453,147$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 1c | 447,859$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.37 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 0c | 439,960$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 11c | 431,959$45,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,834.91 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…b9bebacked Yes | 1c | 427,180$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 419,084$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…6f04backed Yes | 1c | 402,045$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…fa65backed Yes | 6c | 398,240$24,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,329.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 1c | 371,237$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c94…a6c7backed Yes | 2c | 365,427$7,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…ffefbacked Yes | 3c | 288,553$7,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,902.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 11c | 260,450$29,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,377.43 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 10c | 248,306$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,749.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…48eebacked Yes | 12c | 241,881$29,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,457.88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 3c | 237,009$7,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665.31 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 2c | 234,985$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…175bbacked Yes | 2c | 223,959$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,404.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd2…3347backed Yes | 1c | 221,282$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 1c | 210,383$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…b7e5backed Yes | 2c | 195,780$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…538dbacked Yes | 1c | 192,330$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed Yes | 3c | 189,501$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…4f78backed Yes | 2c | 177,290$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…c462backed Yes | 4c | 164,153$5,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…a8ddbacked Yes | 1c | 163,660$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Yes | 1c | 153,292$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 11c | 152,354$16,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,311.15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2199…f619backed Yes | 1c | 151,000$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…996bbacked Yes | 2c | 150,000$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…cba1backed Yes | 0c | 143,667$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 10c | 142,816$13,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,950.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…0b3ebacked Yes | 1c | 140,191$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 7c | 139,787$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 2c | 138,756$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.67 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…b16cbacked Yes | 1c | 135,009$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 1c | 132,565$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…56a3backed Yes | 1c | 128,788$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…0704backed Yes | 1c | 123,786$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3d…bbb8backed Yes | 1c | 123,272$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 1c | 122,733$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…96f5backed Yes | 3c | 121,030$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 1c | 119,805$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed Yes | 1c | 112,577$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…80f7backed Yes | 1c | 111,019$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…1971backed Yes | 1c | 106,801$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 1c | 106,357$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 2c | 105,718$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 10c | 105,591$10,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,991.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…af47backed Yes | 11c | 105,358$11,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,628.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 2c | 101,672$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.29 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…452cbacked Yes | 2c | 100,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda81…ed2cbacked Yes | 1c | 95,721$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…3786backed Yes | 0c | 95,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…4b6ebacked Yes | 1c | 93,504$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Yes | 1c | 92,092$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…eb28backed Yes | 1c | 90,818$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 8c | 90,154$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…bf61backed Yes | 1c | 90,041$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 3c | 90,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 13c | 89,728$11,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,652.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…953abacked Yes | 1c | 89,592$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed Yes | 3c | 89,294$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…44abbacked Yes | 1c | 86,529$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed Yes | 3c | 85,000$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…079abacked Yes | 1c | 85,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…b9fbbacked Yes | 6c | 82,540$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 82,250$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 82,011$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.12 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38af…2b76backed Yes | 1c | 81,951$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…69aabacked Yes | 1c | 81,935$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 7c | 79,310$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…9424backed Yes | 11c | 79,167$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…9a3fbacked Yes | 1c | 78,406$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 1c | 76,561$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…9eb8backed Yes | 1c | 75,242$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 74,266$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…c0c3backed Yes | 1c | 73,872$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Yes | 1c | 72,688$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…baf0backed Yes | 1c | 71,480$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…cbb8backed Yes | 1c | 71,426$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 13c | 71,000$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 2c | 70,142$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.71 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 68,000$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…4826backed Yes | 1c | 67,964$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 7c | 66,679$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.67 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 2c | 65,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 2c | 63,081$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.52 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8408…bb06backed Yes | 6c | 62,567$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…784fbacked Yes | 1c | 61,594$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…e214backed Yes | 1c | 61,318$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…e2d4backed Yes | 1c | 61,039$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.