NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4742af12625579a8b3177bc9b312be9c1d73bb33c04442cc62ee3be5ed4f9b55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,144,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,165,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,144,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Golden Knights | 38c | 753,903$289,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464,798.2 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Avalanche | 63c | 605,630$381,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381,995.81 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Avalanche | 61c | 375,177$228,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,861.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden Knights | 37c | 314,063$115,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,655.24 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 221,959$84,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,633.79 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Avalanche | 63c | 139,093$87,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,628.73 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Golden Knights | 39c | 60,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,800 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Avalanche | 61c | 58,567$35,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,639.96 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 35c | 50,072$17,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,297.65 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Avalanche | 62c | 31,816$19,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,725.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 64c | 31,250$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 65c | 30,974$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Avalanche | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Golden Knights | 36c | 27,199$9,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,407.36 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 25,210$9,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,882.04 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 36c | 22,157$8,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,092.38 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…4879backed Avalanche | 62c | 17,001$10,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,488.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 63c | 16,417$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,325.12 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Avalanche | 63c | 15,467$9,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.01 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 37c | 14,392$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.75 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Avalanche | 63c | 13,590$8,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,605.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Golden Knights | 37c | 12,973$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,173.1 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Avalanche | 61c | 12,754$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,780 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 11,000$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 43c | 10,992$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,318.7 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Golden Knights | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,526.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 62c | 10,100$6,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.88 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Golden Knights | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Avalanche | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 69c | 9,973$6,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.34 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Avalanche | 61c | 9,455$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 37c | 9,376$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.09 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Avalanche | 64c | 8,590$5,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.6 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 8,398$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.03 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 64c | 8,162$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.11 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Avalanche | 61c | 8,094$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 61c | 7,994$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.05 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 7,950$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 64c | 7,518$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.36 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 63c | 7,000$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 6,539$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.72 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Avalanche | 61c | 6,213$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.85 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Golden Knights | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 32c | 5,960$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.07 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Avalanche | 65c | 5,840$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,796.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…7784backed Avalanche | 63c | 5,562$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 5,500$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Avalanche | 61c | 5,331$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.91 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Avalanche | 63c | 5,261$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Golden Knights | 37c | 4,770$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights | 19c | 4,747$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.59 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 74c | 4,326$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.67 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Avalanche | 61c | 4,267$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Avalanche | 62c | 3,969$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.22 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Avalanche | 67c | 3,694$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.71 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Avalanche | 62c | 3,601$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Golden Knights | 38c | 3,600$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden Knights | 38c | 3,572$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.09 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Golden Knights | 24c | 3,453$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Golden Knights | 26c | 3,117$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 37c | 3,111$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.19 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Avalanche | 61c | 3,006$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.41 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Golden Knights | 37c | 2,957$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.74 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Avalanche | 64c | 2,859$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Avalanche | 72c | 2,743$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.11 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Golden Knights | 39c | 2,722$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 2,697$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,640$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Golden Knights | 23c | 2,502$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.63 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,460$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Golden Knights | 36c | 2,379$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.61 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,317$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…692ebacked Golden Knights | 28c | 2,143$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Avalanche | 63c | 2,066$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.02 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Avalanche | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 1,984$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.59 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Avalanche | 70c | 1,970$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.97 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Avalanche | 47c | 1,909$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.04 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed Golden Knights | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,889$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Avalanche | 22c | 1,826$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.79 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Golden Knights | 36c | 1,822$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.9 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Golden Knights | 37c | 1,798$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,782$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Golden Knights | 36c | 1,765$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.52 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…ad0fbacked Avalanche | 23c | 1,759$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,581$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.78 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanchethis page
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.