NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42a24edd2c06740c2f82bb82a22d9a73bb1135ab1f22dacedc2b1d51f04a269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 42,743$19,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,939.45 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,399.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 54c | 23,917$12,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.82 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 54c | 10,965$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.08 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 10,610$5,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.66 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 54c | 8,634$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.64 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 5,791$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.96 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 54c | 3,828$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.14 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 55c | 2,803$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.36 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 2,292$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.08 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 2,133$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.59 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 55c | 1,845$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 2c | 1,832$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Under | 54c | 1,830$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,602$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 2c | 1,330$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 1,267$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.49 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 1,216$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.31 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 53c | 1,168$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.83 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 1,166$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.45 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 53c | 965.24$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.66 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 949.62$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.08 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Over | 46c | 891.3$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 854$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.38 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 743.37$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.53 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…e6d5backed Under | 55c | 719.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 620.59$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 55c | 523.73$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 46c | 500.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 54c | 489.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 400.01$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 54c | 363.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 54c | 304.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 271.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 54c | 253.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Over | 46c | 238.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 199.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 53c | 137$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 54c | 96.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 62c | 96.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 94.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Under | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 85.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 84.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…1346backed Over | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 54c | 79.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 40c | 77.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Under | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 67c | 58.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 68c | 50.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under | 54c | 47.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 45.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 45.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…354dbacked Under | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Under | 55c | 41.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 67c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 54c | 39.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. AvalancheGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.