NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640af5b0f6967d5f8b284b59d729d42f03a5addbc3e77dfefea4c32f618bc6b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,099.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 42c | 20,520$8,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,901.6 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 42c | 19,165$8,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,115.69 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 10,445$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.99 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.96 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 6,350$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.95 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.38 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 5,407$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.07 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Over | 58c | 5,185$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.58 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 5c | 5,128$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 42c | 2,443$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.81 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.8 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 41c | 2,138$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.53 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.82 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 41c | 1,535$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.65 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 57c | 1,470$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 55c | 1,233$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.15 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 41c | 1,084$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.56 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 1,009$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.05 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 16c | 937.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 42c | 931.86$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.48 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 809.46$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.96 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 41c | 773.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 41c | 753.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.65 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 58c | 657$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.22 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 10c | 600.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 11c | 402.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 55c | 398.6$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.94 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 59c | 394.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 79c | 394.54$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 41c | 367.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.87 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 11c | 367.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Over | 55c | 353.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 59c | 339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 42c | 331.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Over | 59c | 324.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 44c | 313.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 42c | 289.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Over | 59c | 287.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Over | 59c | 269.59$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 66c | 263.84$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 229.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 41c | 225$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Over | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 9c | 203$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Over | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 59c | 181$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 42c | 180.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 58c | 170.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 59c | 166.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 56c | 158.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Over | 62c | 151.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 42c | 149.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 41c | 146.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…b99ebacked Over | 59c | 137.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 136.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 11c | 134.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…ad09backed Over | 59c | 125.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…9805backed Over | 59c | 125.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a1…c7e4backed Under | 42c | 122.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…51f8backed Under | 42c | 116.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…0039backed Over | 59c | 115.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…d25abacked Under | 42c | 115.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 115.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 9c | 114.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed Over | 59c | 113.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…7e54backed Under | 42c | 100.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…d8acbacked Under | 42c | 97.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…c127backed Under | 42c | 94.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 61c | 94.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…5bdcbacked Under | 42c | 90.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2187…555ebacked Over | 59c | 87.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…317abacked Over | 59c | 83.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 76.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…fdafbacked Over | 59c | 61.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. AvalancheGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.