TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Golden Knights61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,699.994358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Avalanche39c22,507$8,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,777.7320756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Avalanche41c10,000$4,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Golden Knights60c8,393$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche40c6,346$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.4728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche41c6,039$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Avalanche40c5,646$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Golden Knights62c5,274$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Golden Knights61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5608845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden Knights59c3,289$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.5711952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Golden Knights55c3,186$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.5110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Golden Knights61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights59c2,975$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.481,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Avalanche41c2,611$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.654542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Avalanche45c2,401$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.121,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche39c2,255$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.5227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Avalanche42c2,036$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8554951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Golden Knights58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights59c1,852$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.733554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche40c1,392$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.3958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights61c1,356$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.8431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Golden Knights61c1,247$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.876456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Avalanche40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Golden Knights59c1,187$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.536245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Avalanche41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights59c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9314653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche48c796.47$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.713,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Avalanche39c754.34$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5117442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Golden Knights60c736$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.352161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Golden Knights59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.979457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Golden Knights58c584.85$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Golden Knights59c548.06$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.779258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Golden Knights49c542.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9814151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Golden Knights59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20516546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Avalanche40c469.62$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.857533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights72c414.95$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.231,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Avalanche40c414.87$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5222946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Avalanche40c409.62$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.317258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Golden Knights58c366.85$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa151…03b0backed Golden Knights59c345.64$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights60c279.52$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x521e…8aa2backed Golden Knights62c274.19$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.194344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Golden Knights58c264.85$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Avalanche41c261.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00d…9817backed Avalanche39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb73b…91b9backed Avalanche41c237.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Golden Knights48c237.45$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.454858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche30c200.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9224946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights58c191.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.381580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11aa…a3a5backed Avalanche53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Avalanche39c178.69$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Avalanche47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Golden Knights59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495364.2%34 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Golden Knights77c160$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Golden Knights59c150.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4649746.5%231 W · 266 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights60c150.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4420855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf500…958dbacked Golden Knights58c147.53$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.32166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Avalanche39c144.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.448549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights59c136.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2581157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Avalanche42c133.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Golden Knights59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.221155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche43c118.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Avalanche43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027851.1%142 W · 136 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb6…4fe4backed Avalanche43c115.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Avalanche44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Avalanche39c109.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.93145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Avalanche40c108.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.788150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked Avalanche57c104.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Avalanche52c102.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Golden Knights61c101.18$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.463455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Avalanche41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed06…3612backed Avalanche41c94.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Avalanche39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305450%27 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Golden Knights58c75.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8633660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Avalanche50c74.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4112146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0948…061cbacked Avalanche50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Avalanche39c71.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadcc…9cddbacked Avalanche42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Avalanche53c71.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Golden Knights59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.723063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Golden Knights59c69.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2321355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Avalanche43c65.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Golden Knights62c62.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.940162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Avalanche26c62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1714347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Golden Knights62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Golden Knights61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Avalanche43c55.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Avalanche51c52.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7514254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Golden Knights58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Avalanche39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Golden Knights59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8516959.8%101 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Avalanche40c50.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.248035%28 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Avalanche39c50.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Avalanche40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Avalanche51c46.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Avalanche47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Avalanche39c40.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9821253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Avalanche42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Avalanche39c39.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…ad72backed Golden Knights51c38.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.