TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0948…061c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.06
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$37
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.1
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$64.01
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.71
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.04
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.01
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.42
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$70.12
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.89
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.39
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$126.63
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.83
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.92
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.44
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$31.79
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.09
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.04
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Zagreb: Elmer Moeller vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$22.74
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$33.84
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.21
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.97
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.23
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$67.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.