NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76c95d81cd0aac1d00e4d5bccce59504d85fa98d9872fc55a15eee2adede1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,400,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,427,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,400,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Ducks | 46c | 330,172$151,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,292.99 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Oilers | 51c | 258,875$132,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,602.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Ducks | 46c | 229,968$105,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,182.67 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Oilers | 42c | 165,824$69,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,293.32 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers | 54c | 130,000$70,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,199.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Oilers | 4c | 88,050$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 45c | 59,999$26,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,999.35 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Oilers | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 75c | 31,954$23,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,077.67 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 53c | 30,156$15,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,982.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Oilers | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.94 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Ducks | 47c | 23,210$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,255.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Ducks | 76c | 19,990$15,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 2c | 17,738$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.76 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Ducks | 47c | 16,032$7,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,476.12 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Ducks | 76c | 16,000$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Oilers | 24c | 15,557$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Oilers | 54c | 14,259$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 15c | 13,744$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 68c | 12,203$8,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.91 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Ducks | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks | 47c | 10,611$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,574.83 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Oilers | 54c | 9,859$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.81 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Oilers | 49c | 9,446$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.85 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers | 14c | 9,231$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.98 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Ducks | 46c | 9,200$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Ducks | 72c | 8,690$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.67 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Oilers | 55c | 8,636$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Ducks | 77c | 8,511$6,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.43 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Oilers | 0c | 8,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Ducks | 79c | 8,362$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.33 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 54c | 8,349$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Oilers | 53c | 7,859$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.36 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Oilers | 55c | 7,300$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Ducks | 46c | 6,700$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Oilers | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Oilers | 20c | 5,857$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.29 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Oilers | 54c | 5,735$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Oilers | 55c | 5,091$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Ducks | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Ducks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 10c | 4,573$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Oilers | 54c | 4,450$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Oilers | 18c | 4,405$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 76c | 4,282$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.44 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oilers | 15c | 4,220$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.17 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…ee3ebacked Oilers | 54c | 3,904$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Oilers | 8c | 3,673$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Oilers | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Oilers | 30c | 3,277$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Oilers | 11c | 3,244$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Oilers | 2c | 3,168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Oilers | 55c | 3,150$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.88 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Oilers | 38c | 3,099$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.3 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Oilers | 7c | 3,044$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ducks | 56c | 3,006$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.14 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Oilers | 54c | 3,000$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.94 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Oilers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Oilers | 8c | 3,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers | 54c | 2,995$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.3 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Oilers | 10c | 2,853$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oilers | 20c | 2,846$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.84 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Oilers | 23c | 2,768$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.29 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 29c | 2,611$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Ducks | 46c | 2,530$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Oilers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 8c | 2,477$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oilers | 42c | 2,432$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.38 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Oilers | 55c | 2,426$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Oilers | 55c | 2,281$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Oilers | 20c | 2,190$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 25c | 2,145$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.77 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Oilers | 53c | 2,073$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.63 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Ducks | 47c | 2,011$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.5 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…4f71backed Oilers | 35c | 2,008$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.09 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Oilers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Ducks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…9ef3backed Oilers | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.97 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Oilers | 52c | 1,970$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Oilers | 8c | 1,899$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 35c | 1,882$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.03 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Oilers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 54c | 1,813$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.06 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Oilers | 35c | 1,783$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Oilers | 55c | 1,775$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Oilers | 55c | 1,764$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Ducks | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.04 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Oilers | 5c | 1,650$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…b2a6backed Ducks | 77c | 1,565$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Ducks | 74c | 1,565$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Ducks | 72c | 1,532$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.38 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Ducks | 68c | 1,497$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Oilers | 23c | 1,491$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.92 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Oilers | 23c | 1,491$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.92 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Ducksthis page
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.