NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa67d4067f3620b02e4435b3da87c6f89984f8cefd4af19dfe94414a75680a7b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Oilers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Oilers | 35c | 115,000$40,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,249.98 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 65c | 98,848$64,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,600.35 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Ducks | 65c | 5,745$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.62 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Ducks | 65c | 4,307$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 65c | 3,583$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.88 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 10c | 3,499$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Oilers | 34c | 3,087$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.6 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Oilers | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Ducks | 65c | 2,378$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.46 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ducks | 66c | 2,022$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.36 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ducks | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ducks | 66c | 1,768$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.2 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Oilers | 18c | 1,626$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Ducks | 65c | 1,184$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.32 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Ducks | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ducks | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 69c | 1,080$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Oilers | 2c | 1,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Ducks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Oilers | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Oilers | 12c | 978.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Oilers | 26c | 883.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 11c | 828.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Oilers | 35c | 800.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.01 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Oilers | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Ducks | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Oilers | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 77c | 440$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Ducks | 66c | 434.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ducks | 68c | 426$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Ducks | 67c | 358.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…5b4ebacked Oilers | 7c | 337.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Ducks | 66c | 310.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ducks | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…d79ebacked Oilers | 8c | 310$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Oilers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Oilers | 15c | 251.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks | 66c | 226.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…359ebacked Oilers | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Oilers | 36c | 196.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Ducks | 65c | 181$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Ducks | 67c | 163.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Ducks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 68c | 152.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…6ef9backed Oilers | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Ducks | 65c | 122.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Ducks | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Ducks | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Oilers | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…79eabacked Ducks | 66c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Oilers | 13c | 100.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…d5a3backed Ducks | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Oilers | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Ducks | 65c | 98.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Ducks | 67c | 92.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Ducks | 64c | 85.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Ducks | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ducks | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Ducks | 68c | 73.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Oilers | 33c | 67.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Ducks | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Oilers | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Oilers | 36c | 62.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Ducks | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Ducks | 66c | 56.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Ducks | 66c | 50.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…790cbacked Oilers | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Ducks | 65c | 49.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Oilers | 34c | 49.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…a0a5backed Oilers | 34c | 45.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Ducks | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Ducks | 66c | 35.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Ducks | 65c | 34.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Ducks | 65c | 33.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Oilers | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Ducks | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Ducks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Ducks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Ducks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Ducks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Ducks | 66c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oilers | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 64c | 25.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Ducks | 65c | 24.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Ducks | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed Ducks | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…9ff4backed Ducks | 66c | 22.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Ducks | 65c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Ducks | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Ducks | 66c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Ducks | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Ducks | 68c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Oilers vs. DucksDucks won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.