TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77e5…d5a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT11864.4%76 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$69.99
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.99
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.99
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$76.17
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.55
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+68.1%+$16.2
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick62cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$45.1
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.