Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4182835bf571c7d98f193e9c85d4d784c4d09ba01716ae3dafaf6d76b87d06ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $627,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 58c | 256,305$147,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,592.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 146,291$61,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,928.18 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 41c | 36,644$14,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,914.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,725 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 42c | 23,240$9,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,816.87 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 59c | 18,331$10,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,515.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 41c | 18,149$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,441 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 14,188$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.09 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 60c | 13,545$8,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 12,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 0c | 10,802$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 8,457$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 60c | 6,407$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.01 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 6,074$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.1 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 43c | 5,755$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 5,574$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.87 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 58c | 5,357$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 43c | 4,649$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 2c | 4,084$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.84 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked No | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 43c | 3,487$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.52 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,456$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.49 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 42c | 3,333$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.85 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 42c | 2,891$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.1 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 42c | 2,577$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.67 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 59c | 2,363$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.63 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 2,300$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 42c | 2,034$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.09 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 40c | 2,020$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,978$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.78 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,875$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.16 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 1,779$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.82 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,758$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 1,659$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.98 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 18c | 1,656$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,532$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 39c | 1,487$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.93 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 42c | 1,459$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.2 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 44c | 1,350$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 61c | 1,332$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.45 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,273$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 39c | 1,208$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed Yes | 41c | 1,119$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…113dbacked Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 5c | 987.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 39c | 873.03$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.48 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…eb8ebacked No | 62c | 860$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 38c | 843.73$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Yes | 42c | 779.95$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Yes | 41c | 721.55$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 41c | 711.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 24c | 667.27$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 43c | 655.78$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.43 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 33c | 650$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 39c | 564.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 61c | 554.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Yes | 2c | 506.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 505.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 31c | 488.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 60c | 469.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 19c | 399.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 19c | 399.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 60c | 386.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 58c | 385.36$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 42c | 370$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 59c | 342$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 327.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 8c | 327.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 323.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 43c | 312.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 59c | 289.48$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.