Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4700a5bcdd3b315a4ad531a073ee72d868f3e1708fd1df73f3f8192957f69ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 0c | 13,641$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 71c | 6,672$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.95 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 4,053$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 2,869$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,009$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 26c | 1,925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 11c | 1,628$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,318$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 71c | 1,277$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 17c | 1,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,147$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 1,046$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 7c | 999.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 744.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…6511backed No | 71c | 735.21$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 10c | 699.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 71c | 697.24$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 8c | 664.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 640.47$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 608.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 30c | 604$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 594.42$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 27c | 592.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…e948backed No | 71c | 567.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 71c | 544.78$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0c85backed No | 71c | 536.62$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…c42ebacked No | 71c | 528.17$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 13c | 486.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 10c | 483.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 9c | 457.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a80ebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 375.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 372$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 336$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 268.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 8c | 244.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 18c | 219.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 12c | 208$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 70c | 199.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 184.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes | 16c | 183.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 29c | 181.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 17c | 157.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 13c | 154.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…7defbacked No | 72c | 130.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 72c | 129.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes | 9c | 111$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 108.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 29c | 105.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 28c | 100.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…98e2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 94.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 29c | 92.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked No | 71c | 81.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 19c | 79.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…272dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 29c | 65.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 71c | 65.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 29c | 53.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…bb88backed Yes | 27c | 50.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 72c | 25.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed No | 70c | 14.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.