Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01203f5f1a4cef187bc64e4bd0cfebef30e8e8a5cce123a3e89bf8669da12473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $564,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 26c | 131,071$34,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,273.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 0c | 77,447$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 17c | 31,319$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,311.08 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 29,950$20,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,687.84 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 11,558$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,866.25 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 8,482$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.12 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 73c | 8,104$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.92 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 1c | 6,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 70c | 6,000$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.98 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 0c | 5,661$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 2c | 5,428$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 4,841$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.29 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 4c | 4,835$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 1c | 3,841$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 3,640$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.49 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 8c | 3,472$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.37 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 3,333$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.43 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 68c | 3,012$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 2,950$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 17c | 2,890$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 2,888$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.57 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 14c | 1,607$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 72c | 1,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 60c | 1,382$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.51 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 78c | 1,373$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.68 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 35c | 1,353$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 1,340$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 6c | 1,321$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 69c | 1,203$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.61 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 24c | 1,201$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 3c | 1,123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 68c | 931.99$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.01 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 20c | 861.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 69c | 723.45$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.18 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 689.36$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.61 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 4c | 656.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 31c | 641.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.94 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 3c | 546.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 30c | 538.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.64 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 57c | 522$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…557abacked Yes | 58c | 516.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 509.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 19c | 480.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 65c | 375.82$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 77c | 321.36$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…f4e2backed Yes | 32c | 306.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 14c | 259.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 23c | 257$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked No | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 18c | 238.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7d…37e8backed Yes | 33c | 237.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 30c | 231$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 18c | 221.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 46c | 217.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 10c | 198$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Yes | 72c | 183.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 76c | 179.69$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes | 79c | 168$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 68c | 158$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No | 14c | 131.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 18c | 130.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 8c | 129.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed No | 18c | 119.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 42c | 106$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 28c | 105.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…78dcbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…f17abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Yes | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Yes | 68c | 94.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.