TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports60c20,731$12,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,281.6255157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Tundra Esports74c20,015$14,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,203.92751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team26c18,519$4,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,814.8142650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team25c17,404$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team35c15,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports67c12,762$8,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.9396557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed BetBoom Team33c12,275$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.3413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked Tundra Esports66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.992766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team31c8,167$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.8153451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed BetBoom Team21c6,462$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.257143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed BetBoom Team40c6,260$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.7566662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed BetBoom Team37c5,742$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.7910741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team0c5,697$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.966169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports71c5,063$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.232854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BetBoom Team25c4,233$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.1560542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked BetBoom Team34c3,941$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3405642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…5e7abacked Tundra Esports74c3,292$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.011833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports75c3,090$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.5511359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Tundra Esports71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed BetBoom Team26c2,696$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.066647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BetBoom Team25c2,650$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked BetBoom Team25c2,580$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.055839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked BetBoom Team26c2,546$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.9614515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed BetBoom Team25c2,443$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.774245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked BetBoom Team33c2,304$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.418156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BetBoom Team36c2,255$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.9117651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BetBoom Team40c2,221$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88825549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked BetBoom Team33c2,182$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.223834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BetBoom Team21c2,179$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.139557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Tundra Esports76c2,000$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.7542145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed BetBoom Team28c1,900$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53222727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19dc…4b3fbacked Tundra Esports75c1,771$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed BetBoom Team25c1,740$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.680742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Tundra Esports69c1,732$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8712948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BetBoom Team35c1,675$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.4158744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b9…6d18backed Tundra Esports75c1,647$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports74c1,616$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1129160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports66c1,600$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.2522954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.321264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed BetBoom Team38c1,544$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39039936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BetBoom Team19c1,482$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4530138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports75c1,479$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2325457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Tundra Esports68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9914747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Tundra Esports74c1,452$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6411947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed BetBoom Team24c1,360$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6516821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed BetBoom Team2c1,300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked BetBoom Team38c1,300$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6516248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports71c1,263$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.598461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team36c1,242$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45071454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked BetBoom Team26c1,170$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1920827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports72c1,051$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2726957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports77c1,041$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked BetBoom Team24c1,035$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3611839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports78c1,025$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.948258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BetBoom Team25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36088166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed BetBoom Team26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Tundra Esports74c990.54$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5420452.5%107 W · 97 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Tundra Esports61c978.62$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.629053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports68c966.96$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6446664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team22c962.71$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.861,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports74c951.31$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports65c929.05$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.058957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports58c895.71$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.231545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports65c873.11$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed BetBoom Team42c872$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4515653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked BetBoom Team27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports74c760.79$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.814654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked BetBoom Team40c750.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports71c707.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.199959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports79c703.22$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.112,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf54…320abacked BetBoom Team14c697.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Tundra Esports74c675$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.53928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports67c666.67$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6723050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Tundra Esports72c635.81$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.032445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports67c617.1$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6419552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Tundra Esports63c609.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.692171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed BetBoom Team37c604.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6536054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea75…ae99backed Tundra Esports74c600$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a65…ffcdbacked BetBoom Team33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked BetBoom Team26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15624052.1%125 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team42c599$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed BetBoom Team39c536.67$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.360251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Tundra Esports75c532.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2323459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed BetBoom Team42c528.51$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7728544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed BetBoom Team40c514.18$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6740047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked BetBoom Team10c500$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.97236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed BetBoom Team30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb0…8ababacked BetBoom Team38c475.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports64c457.08$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5555251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed BetBoom Team27c443.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12041248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Tundra Esports70c443.06$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.922657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Tundra Esports71c421.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.673275%24 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports75c416.97$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.441,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.414763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports69c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12273743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.