Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea3411c5261e0b10c8f7f6b355a74f0289358f89f76f085ae9b2d0d3316920b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof Tundra Esports, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22d0…6293backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 2,191$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,820$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 1,500$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.41 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked BetBoom Team | 58c | 917.17$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.2 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 631.3$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 541$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 509.01$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.87 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 410.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked BetBoom Team | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 308.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 251.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BetBoom Team | 54c | 219.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 190.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 169.34$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…bac1backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 159.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked BetBoom Team | 57c | 47.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…3037backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 32.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 30.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.