Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65346cd88d9ad4e5f969f869f55dec68cab4c589b952da8ce7d4de033d5d4eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x278b…bff0backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 34,139$13,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…3205backed Team Spirit | 61c | 17,679$10,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…6877backed Team Spirit | 61c | 16,461$10,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 74c | 7,076$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.6 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 6,769$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.44 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,181$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.05 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,000$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.76 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 4,820$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 4,244$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.45 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,405$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.02 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…188bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,842$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,789$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.81 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 2,049$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,866$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.06 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,846$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.15 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,843$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.38 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,783$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.18 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,739$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.81 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,650$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,559$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.53 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,464$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,459$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.48 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,319$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.05 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,284$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.48 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,250$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 1,136$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.38 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Spirit | 70c | 998.83$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Spirit | 63c | 953.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…608dbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 872.97$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 857.72$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Spirit | 73c | 782.63$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 749.34$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 69c | 709.86$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Team Spirit | 62c | 709$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 709$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 603.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 600.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 575.26$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…73dabacked Team Spirit | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 71c | 554$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 64c | 550.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171a…1d50backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 510.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Spirit | 68c | 507.87$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…215ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 501$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +229.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 500.39$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8518backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 490.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit | 61c | 480.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…8f55backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 463.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 434$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea84…029ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 431$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 419.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 63c | 403.65$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Team Spirit | 64c | 389$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 71c | 383.6$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 376$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Spirit | 66c | 374.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Team Spirit | 73c | 360$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 318.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Team Spirit | 64c | 312.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 310.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 304.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f5…b1e3backed Team Spirit | 72c | 300.02$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…b641backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…0dcbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 298$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Team Spirit | 68c | 288.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 70c | 286.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 286$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 244.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 233.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Team Spirit | 80c | 224.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Team Spirit | 63c | 214.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Spirit | 60c | 206.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…f8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 205.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 199.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…8b11backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 198.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 194.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 194.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 184.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 178.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Spirit | 57c | 177.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 176.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 169.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 163$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Spirit | 63c | 160.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.