TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$915,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,034,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $915,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 678 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes74c64,714$47,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,825.69154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No24c55,340$13,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,281.679028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No24c51,589$12,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,397.326145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c48,603$37,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,751.394,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes75c34,895$26,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,605.930634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes76c33,093$25,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,038.0150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes76c32,403$24,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,776.689459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No26c32,233$8,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,509.658828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No26c31,025$8,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,036.62646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed No26c24,987$6,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,496.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb4a…4ef5backed No26c20,250$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No27c18,496$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,945.253847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No25c16,064$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.887139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes74c15,752$11,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.449536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No25c13,340$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3355442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes76c13,158$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.893145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes76c10,050$7,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.989625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No26c7,865$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.891020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c6,689$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.463,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Yes44c6,664$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes75c6,024$4,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.3425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes76c5,125$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.2364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3001,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No32c4,913$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.5169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes76c4,796$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.956160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No25c3,895$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.71175.9%1 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No26c3,856$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9937922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddf…2d18backed No27c3,796$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No26c3,586$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.44032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No24c3,435$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.676836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes74c3,378$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.5353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9224…15d1backed No27c3,256$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No26c3,212$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8355232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a2…08cbbacked No27c3,161$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No26c2,980$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No24c2,908$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.8513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5f…87c6backed No27c2,838$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…6f1abacked Yes75c2,801$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.341758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…8514backed Yes73c2,731$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.37650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6357…64b3backed No27c2,712$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x604f…2bffbacked No27c2,702$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a9…836ebacked No27c2,657$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71ad…c321backed No27c2,638$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c2,577$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.81,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b71…d36bbacked No27c2,558$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…bf07backed No27c2,540$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3754461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa57a…177cbacked No27c2,425$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4802…aca1backed No27c2,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No24c2,400$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.996640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e5…74e2backed No27c2,387$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556d…a234backed No27c2,358$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.66757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb5a…bf58backed No27c2,252$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed No21c2,238$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde52…c99bbacked No27c2,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efa…3dcdbacked Yes73c2,217$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a0…bc13backed No27c2,164$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9b…7511backed Yes73c2,141$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.07560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ad…2fefbacked No27c2,111$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…60ebbacked No27c2,106$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733f…4db3backed No27c2,105$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No29c2,089$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6533…1bc4backed No27c2,087$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38cf…adcfbacked No27c2,071$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No25c2,059$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.111,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba8…3ca8backed No27c2,047$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes75c2,038$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.385658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b01…29e7backed No27c2,018$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.86540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.897468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9f…0f33backed Yes73c1,998$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+81.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…1b16backed No27c1,973$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf71…1727backed No27c1,919$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.13850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes75c1,902$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.046141%25 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d1…548ebacked Yes73c1,887$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19c5…3ceebacked Yes73c1,883$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d1…5ae7backed No27c1,871$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ee…68edbacked No27c1,853$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2c…bd39backed No27c1,798$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2612…3661backed No27c1,788$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No5c1,787$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x935d…30b8backed No27c1,761$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.47911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.42per pick53cpaid-86.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7436…2ffbbacked No27c1,754$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5def…9a0bbacked No27c1,754$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.58850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…9168backed No27c1,688$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc97…d1bdbacked Yes73c1,666$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No24c1,666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd6…4995backed No27c1,663$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…0c45backed No27c1,663$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd99…91e8backed No27c1,614$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb44…ca66backed No27c1,609$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No25c1,604$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.012218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f39…1601backed Yes73c1,601$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes76c1,579$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5d8…fe36backed No27c1,556$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No24c1,543$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.0117252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.