La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb3fe5f5501bb653e9793f9cc787c2f7fcc089a04e2829b5ca26b9965eece82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 21,511$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 16c | 2,958$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 55c | 1,495$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 18c | 1,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 15c | 1,023$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 16c | 943.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 904.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.83 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 16c | 806.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Yes | 7c | 699.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 602.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 17c | 599.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…8e25backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…9a74backed Yes | 17c | 388.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed No | 59c | 388$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 365$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 318.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 50c | 281.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 55c | 225$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 10c | 201.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 10c | 201.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Yes | 8c | 197.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes | 16c | 157$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 12c | 150.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Yes | 8c | 150.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…386cbacked Yes | 8c | 130.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…a717backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…add6backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 16c | 83.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 74.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…8297backed Yes | 19c | 62.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 60.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 68c | 51.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 41.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 34.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 56c | 26.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
- Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.