Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74f890556f9af5f7946e64ce1cd3635a0a709bafa88f28b0af3486d4041d988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,290,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,332,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,290,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 47c | 379,744$179,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,911.48 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed No | 51c | 230,151$117,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,377.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 148,614$78,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,914.11 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 50c | 61,200$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.94 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 25,399$13,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,681.22 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 24,651$15,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,983.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 51c | 22,826$11,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,724.8 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 49c | 20,500$10,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 27c | 19,681$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,336.68 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 2c | 14,822$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 28c | 14,706$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,054.34 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 51c | 14,392$7,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,340 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 11c | 13,853$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.19 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 13,202$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.37 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 11,554$7,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed No | 0c | 10,599$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 53c | 10,234$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,424 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 25c | 9,971$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.63 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked No | 24c | 9,750$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 51c | 9,729$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 9,367$5,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.11 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 53c | 8,763$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,644.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 8,135$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.13 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 8,075$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 7,757$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.77 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 25c | 7,099$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.12 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 50c | 7,017$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed No | 50c | 6,796$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…2963backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 50c | 5,926$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 50c | 5,555$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.12 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 5,321$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.55 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 53c | 5,238$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…4daabacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 50c | 4,832$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 50c | 4,640$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Yes | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 47c | 4,256$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.68 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 4,238$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.19 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked No | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 53c | 3,906$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,900$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…3753backed No | 0c | 3,782$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 56c | 3,759$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 3,600$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.82 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 52c | 3,452$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 3,147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 2,976$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.1 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 49c | 2,937$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.88 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed Yes | 80c | 2,619$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 54c | 2,613$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.16 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 52c | 2,600$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.99 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 54c | 2,500$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 50c | 2,344$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 50c | 2,084$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Yes | 52c | 2,041$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 52c | 2,035$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 53c | 2,021$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.46 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.09 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 1,866$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.19 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 53c | 1,602$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.15 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 51c | 1,489$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 1,486$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.58 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,390$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 60c | 1,367$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.95 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 23c | 1,342$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 79c | 1,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,221$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.62 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 70c | 1,171$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.97 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 31c | 1,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.54 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Torino FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.