Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x594c08abb00ef53bbc4b87f7c34d346f87b2168aff80e4e932328fa17821f3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Yes | 0c | 15,399$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked No | 71c | 9,098$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 71c | 2,322$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.24 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,246$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.56 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 30c | 2,217$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.1 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 30c | 2,018$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.51 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,895$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 1,804$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.19 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 29c | 1,800$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 1,711$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.12 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 31c | 1,381$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 32c | 943.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 847$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 69c | 514.68$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 504.37$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 29c | 434.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 71c | 372.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 325$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 313.23$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 30c | 282.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 29c | 259.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 29c | 203.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 29c | 203.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 28c | 181$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 175.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 13c | 154.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 30c | 133.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 125.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…7defbacked No | 72c | 123.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…9e54backed No | 72c | 118.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 30c | 111.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 76c | 109.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 29c | 108.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 18c | 100.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 75c | 86.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 30c | 78.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4320backed No | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…fa69backed Yes | 20c | 62.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…c2c8backed Yes | 30c | 58.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 29c | 58.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 56.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 54.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…5408backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 30c | 39.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec51…b1d3backed No | 78c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 80c | 23.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 68c | 18.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.