TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes20c34,613$7,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,071.561833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c15,519$11,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.8493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes26c9,898$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.562157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+103.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes20c9,701$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.174254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes21c7,423$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.832725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes3c5,796$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes25c4,405$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes22c4,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9814249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes22c3,333$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes25c2,979$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes23c2,403$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.0510038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes25c2,064$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7919549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31520143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes22c1,461$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+64.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes16c1,228$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c1,129$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.8141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes21c1,011$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.115538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No75c1,004$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No79c947.35$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.356357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes25c890.91$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes25c877.12$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.369046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c839.63$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes24c820.68$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9622551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c775.4$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c767.15$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.36331.7%20 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Yes4c646.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.862520%5 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-72.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No77c641$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4314142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de8…76babacked Yes18c558.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No77c521.48$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.941643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No79c477$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes24c420.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.96323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes24c357.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.734831.3%15 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No74c355$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.39652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes5c340.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No78c340$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.82740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes6c292.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.173531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493c…a6eebacked Yes25c282.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56e…dc0cbacked Yes25c275.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No77c255.15$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes11c253.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9420431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes22c231$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.939826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a2…5f83backed Yes23c221.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No76c210$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.411666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Yes26c194.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0909…78dcbacked No78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.31560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.312365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0145…fa69backed Yes6c187.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes9c172$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No74c171$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.462236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes21c170.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.733941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes8c161.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5317529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes25c154.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.861717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes21c154$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.686246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes12c153.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes21c148.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.889631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.219653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes17c121$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5715045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No77c117.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7321445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes20c114.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9811146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2512…9030backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Yes24c82.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe344…34d9backed Yes24c76.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81c…cceabacked No78c76.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes20c75.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.086131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…c2c8backed Yes25c67.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked No76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3323245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.255942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked Yes25c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Yes23c43.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked No79c34.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.353246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed No78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053363.6%21 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5240backed No78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.646100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.259757.7%56 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa092…47b3backed No76c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.685030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.