Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4658ed5baa0a6853f27a6a6f12719a2851b0d1b1dc6563ae738c520725588fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 5,866$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 3,464$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.59 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 3,434$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 2,987$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.9 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,742$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,250$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 53c | 966.95$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 26c | 815.01$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 781.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 776.98$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 45c | 666.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 616$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 566.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Yes | 19c | 562.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 23c | 548.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 453.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.04 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 376.58$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 305.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 58c | 254$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 27c | 238$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 222.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 25c | 215$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 49c | 204.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 157.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 150.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 133.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 48c | 122.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +12.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 116$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Yes | 22c | 113.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes | 27c | 91.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed No | 71c | 85.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 74c | 82.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 76.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 56c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 76c | 71.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 29c | 71.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4749…321dbacked Yes | 58c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 63.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 58.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 42c | 57.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 51.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…d5a3backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 36c | 47.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed No | 72c | 36.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8801…f667backed No | 69c | 31.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 74c | 28.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 76c | 27.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 56c | 24.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 69c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 75c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 60c | 18.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 75c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.