NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x850193b63059a3fb75df77e4014c10e95df0fa9f1bbebcb4f666c5caeab671ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,145,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,182,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,145,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,048 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 47c | 291,600$138,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,132.14 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 48c | 218,889$105,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,030.54 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Lightning | 52c | 196,276$102,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,571.54 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Lightning | 53c | 124,965$66,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,165.05 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Lightning | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.79 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Lightning | 52c | 78,385$40,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,596.3 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Lightning | 51c | 76,546$39,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,339.67 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lightning | 52c | 49,427$25,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,701.94 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lightning | 51c | 43,278$21,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,909.95 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 47c | 24,519$11,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,907.52 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Canadiens | 49c | 20,156$9,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,299.71 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Canadiens | 48c | 19,593$9,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,091.18 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens | 48c | 19,533$9,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,157.33 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Lightning | 56c | 16,941$9,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,507.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Canadiens | 49c | 15,827$7,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.3 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Lightning | 50c | 15,401$7,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,718.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lightning | 49c | 14,041$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Canadiens | 51c | 13,766$7,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.35 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lightning | 53c | 13,247$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020.31 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Canadiens | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.94 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Lightning | 51c | 11,703$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens | 50c | 11,312$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.89 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 46c | 11,111$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.57 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Lightning | 51c | 10,350$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.5 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 10,283$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.82 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 38c | 10,134$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.8 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lightning | 49c | 10,038$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.72 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 9,870$4,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.27 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Lightning | 53c | 9,076$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.41 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 8,787$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.18 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Lightning | 52c | 7,858$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.16 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 53c | 7,334$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.2 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 51c | 6,504$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 51c | 6,177$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.26 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 48c | 5,925$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…e0c0backed Canadiens | 48c | 5,371$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,363$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lightning | 68c | 5,085$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.67 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lightning | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.88 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 48c | 4,844$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.88 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 48c | 4,843$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.54 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 43c | 4,740$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 53c | 4,278$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.1 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Lightning | 50c | 4,169$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.68 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Canadiens | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lightning | 52c | 3,748$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.23 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,667$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lightning | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,537$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.49 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed Lightning | 52c | 3,302$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,229$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.25 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 49c | 3,206$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.89 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Lightning | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,972$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.67 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Lightning | 53c | 2,754$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.11 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Canadiens | 49c | 2,694$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.57 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,644$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.79 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Canadiens | 47c | 2,539$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.32 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens | 64c | 2,446$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.56 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 52c | 2,376$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.61 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 52c | 2,264$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.03 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lightning | 51c | 2,092$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.99 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,090$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.9 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.12 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lightning | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.98 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.46 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lightning | 53c | 1,963$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.41 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Lightning | 53c | 1,762$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.94 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Lightning | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +202%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Lightning | 53c | 1,467$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.44 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,389$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,380$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.39 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,344$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.99 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Lightning | 68c | 1,304$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.93 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Lightning | 52c | 1,272$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.54 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Lightning | 53c | 1,262$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.63 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…5732backed Lightning | 52c | 1,261$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.64 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 12c | 1,212$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Canadiens | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.08 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lightning | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,093$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.19 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,090$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.64 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,069$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.56 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lightning | 38c | 1,057$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.68 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Canadiens | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…ce42backed Canadiens | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canadiensthis page
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.