TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Pacers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,077,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,025,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,077,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 982 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Pacers33c145,810$48,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,117.3225248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…0a92backed Pacers31c140,556$43,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,262.976654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed 76ers69c115,332$79,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,665.081,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Pacers32c112,902$35,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,765.5611547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers31c102,406$31,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,670.0887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pacers28c78,654$21,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,682.1772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers30c76,477$22,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,741.042,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers67c65,799$43,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,871.8159653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 76ers66c58,946$39,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,784.5238248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers30c56,863$17,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,233.511,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked 76ers67c50,000$33,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,50012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed 76ers67c48,808$32,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,918.6324650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers32c40,300$12,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,880.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers68c39,994$27,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,706.11,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed 76ers73c38,424$28,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,374.5422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers69c37,224$25,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,563.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed 76ers72c34,722$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,722.2217441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers31c33,624$10,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,417.0766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers68c33,000$22,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 76ers69c32,092$22,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,044.5681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Pacers31c29,889$9,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,265.394742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacers35c25,685$9,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,067.5316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers70c22,955$16,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,932.4489050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pacers32c22,222$7,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,111.041,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pacers31c21,278$6,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,671.292,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers69c20,993$14,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,488.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pacers32c20,000$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,489.9518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers67c20,000$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9331445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers68c19,752$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.2276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers49c16,168$7,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,922.51,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers28c16,111$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 76ers67c15,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95026753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers30c14,999$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.841,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers64c14,210$9,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed 76ers74c13,514$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.5134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers60c12,341$7,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,880.531,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Pacers30c12,166$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.2536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers31c11,906$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.022,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Pacers31c11,820$3,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,664.1210547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers32c11,087$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.8146342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers69c10,976$7,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.141,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed 76ers70c10,711$7,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.8916749.1%82 W · 85 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed 76ers64c10,209$6,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.3218453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers67c10,025$6,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.555,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers26c9,761$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.9447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pacers29c8,888$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.5220352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc49…ffd6backed Pacers31c8,540$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.383250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Pacers33c8,480$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers32c8,364$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,676.5876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pacers28c8,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers66c7,786$5,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers62c7,502$4,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.272,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked 76ers68c7,501$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.432142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Pacers31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed 76ers71c6,500$4,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked 76ers70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Pacers34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0402070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked 76ers68c5,963$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.2610167.3%68 W · 33 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb632…7ec5backed 76ers71c5,687$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.527959.5%47 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed 76ers67c5,628$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.275251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers27c5,300$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Pacers28c5,106$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.6930351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed 76ers74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3005369.8%37 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Pacers28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Pacers51c4,855$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.15139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers70c4,672$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.81,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers27c4,623$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.8248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Pacers32c4,288$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.0348347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed 76ers73c4,107$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.588951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers69c4,058$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.2572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers27c4,050$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf94…402dbacked Pacers29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers28c3,215$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.4295049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eba…33bdbacked 76ers69c3,058$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.144643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers28c3,023$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.711,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked 76ers68c3,013$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 76ers68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pacers30c2,960$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.1447748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers69c2,950$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.682,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked 76ers68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1841954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed 76ers68c2,913$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked 76ers72c2,852$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.64966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Pacers32c2,674$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.741844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked 76ers69c2,635$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.852630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Pacers29c2,516$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.681,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Pacers31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77520349.8%101 W · 102 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf287…74f3backed Pacers1c2,439$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.922619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers68c2,390$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.921,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9571…1d98backed 76ers70c2,249$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.642147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8157…6cc6backed 76ers68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pacers23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50647535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers27c2,111$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2518518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked 76ers70c2,086$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.0544459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers26c2,071$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.151,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd7…2f37backed 76ers71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+96.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1967…9750backed Pacers29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.