NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ac965ed6e49a46bb57e782aa0cea89b53049c287c8fff21230fbb669a8199c

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 12, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under	53c	33,119$17,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,566	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over	47c	21,286$10,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,004.25	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	20,999$9,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,612.67	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Under	52c	15,000$7,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,227.15	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over	49c	12,222$6,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,030.99	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Under	51c	6,837$3,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,349.89	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under	53c	5,646$2,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,655.73	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+10.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Over	47c	4,274$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-6.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	47c	3,943$1,853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.19	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over	43c	3,162$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.62	228	45.2%103 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	50c	3,087$1,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Over	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under	59c	1,695$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.92	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked Over	44c	1,655$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over	46c	1,400$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under	50c	1,400$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Over	55c	1,287$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.67	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Over	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	902$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.94	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Under	65c	386.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.43	60	65%39 W · 21 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	51c	385.83$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.84	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	58c	299.27$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.73	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	41c	259.56$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.47	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	36c	250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	62c	250$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.12	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	50c	205$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.75	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	49c	157.9$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.63	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	48c	131.8$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.51	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e39…9467backed Over	51c	127$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	184	53.3%98 W · 86 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	26c	76.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.24	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	128	65.6%84 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under	57c	71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.53	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Over	40c	62.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Under	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	47c	56.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.24	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over	37c	49.68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	42c	48.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	42c	34.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Under	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Over	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Over	43c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	38c	26.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over	43c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-4.6wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Under	62c	24.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over	48c	21.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event