NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ab9679567f8c205641d643732d57cea24245118d898b960112703e3a5becca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 50c | 14,222$7,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,163.21 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 50c | 13,009$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.25 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 45c | 5,806$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.89 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 51c | 3,933$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,137$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.87 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,115$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 959.72$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 734$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 506.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 455$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 424.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 62c | 298$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…a8c5backed Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 238.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 181.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 43c | 99.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 84.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 63c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…9905backed Under | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 35c | 67.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 46c | 49.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…0427backed Over | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…2e1dbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…788bbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.