TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,626 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b1d…1e31backed Over36c11,000$3,960 inLost-$3,9601947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed Under64c11,000$7,040 inWon+$3,9602060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,009$469 inWon+$540.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c519$268 inLost-$267.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over31c452.46$141 inLost-$141.021,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over54c441.86$238 inLost-$238.252,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under63c110.1$69 inWon+$41.1820762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c106.52$33 inWon+$73.53,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under68c101.49$69 inWon+$32.4990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Over54c99.98$54 inLost-$53.9962848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c89.42$44 inWon+$45.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under64c74$47 inWon+$26.648749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under69c60$41 inWon+$18.661253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over54c49.78$27 inLost-$26.6752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under64c49$31 inWon+$17.644553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over34c48.39$16 inLost-$16.231,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c41$18 inLost-$18.042,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over36c38$14 inLost-$13.684252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over36c36$13 inLost-$12.964153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Under66c34.72$23 inWon+$11.729954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over34c30$10 inLost-$10.253951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under67c22.39$15 inWon+$7.399957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Over54c20.52$11 inLost-$11.083647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.