NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5fb744317d3954552593a3ed5469c37d982045a65eef7f525b8de1103faaf11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,733$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 53c | 2,162$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.7 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,557$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.52 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…81d2backed Under | 51c | 1,527$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 977.36$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.13 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 659.82$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 468$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Over | 43c | 317$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Under | 53c | 296.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 93.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 38c | 71.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 52c | 66.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Under | 63c | 37.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 34.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.