TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Pacers55c63,368$34,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,550.6225248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers46c36,319$16,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,721.452,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers45c30,989$13,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,043.859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed 76ers54c21,938$11,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,173.74961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pacers47c18,899$8,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,882.4859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63e2…bb9bbacked 76ers55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7502560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd234…90b0backed Pacers45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7502458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers48c11,937$5,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,193.742,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdbb…8104backed 76ers46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers47c10,412$4,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,864.191,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pacers55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers54c9,316$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.6876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers54c8,314$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.1866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pacers47c6,849$3,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked 76ers47c6,709$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers46c4,834$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers48c3,705$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.161,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Pacers46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed 76ers45c2,900$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59518453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed 76ers53c2,559$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.5319351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers52c2,482$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.361,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers47c2,037$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.231,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers50c2,005$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed 76ers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers46c1,958$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.322,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed 76ers54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8517441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers51c1,810$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Pacers54c1,631$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed 76ers46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.4316442.1%69 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers50c1,625$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers46c1,585$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.181,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers52c1,568$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.11,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Pacers69c1,455$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.4316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers45c1,244$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.21,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers48c1,200$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pacers48c1,159$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.82,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers47c1,159$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.32,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers52c1,100$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.2184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers46c1,025$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.525,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked 76ers53c999.99$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9940947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers48c940$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.23,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers48c886$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.722,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers36c614.58$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Pacers54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32422053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed 76ers28c571$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.1235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed 76ers49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.126638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers47c509.79$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.272,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pacers47c504$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.752,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Pacers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Pacers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers49c383.46$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.943,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c4…0121backed 76ers53c376.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.123271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pacers49c307$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Pacers54c270.06$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3440346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers46c264.4$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked 76ers28c220$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.416431.7%52 W · 112 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed 76ers46c212.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked 76ers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.171,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers46c199$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers46c197.64$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed Pacers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004030%12 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Pacers48c192$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1613748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed 76ers53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.310255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 76ers50c130.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.331,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Pacers46c114.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8111445.6%52 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Pacers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed 76ers29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712015%3 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Pacers54c95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.36952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Pacers53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Pacers46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Pacers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e9…5e83backed 76ers48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Pacers48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x075a…8d34backed 76ers56c72.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8612858.6%75 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pacers46c67.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9116942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c24…8c06backed 76ers54c67.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed 76ers46c59.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.013647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed 76ers49c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Pacers47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.854553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed 76ers55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pacers47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed 76ers41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.518554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Pacers52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9324…7e95backed Pacers55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked 76ers47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Pacers55c36.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.999941.4%41 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab4…79dabacked Pacers55c35.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63839.5%15 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed 76ers46c35.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pacers47c32.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed 76ers54c30.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.032951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec1…f195backed 76ers55c26.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed 76ers46c26.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.336434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked 76ers46c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0916852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042e…f947backed Pacers47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked 76ers47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.253551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked 76ers47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.192450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9431…6270backed 76ers53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.934052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.