NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78a487a3a3bc341535fd814ba7c27828a8747e78b09e4d41fd67124395a6e9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Pacers | 50c | 45,054$22,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,657.79 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed 76ers | 50c | 31,558$15,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,779 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 52c | 7,899$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 50c | 7,018$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pacers | 51c | 5,446$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.37 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…29a7backed 76ers | 51c | 5,294$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked 76ers | 51c | 4,863$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.75 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Pacers | 49c | 3,110$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.46 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 53c | 2,599$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.94 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed 76ers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed 76ers | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.6 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed 76ers | 51c | 1,943$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.14 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 76ers | 55c | 1,900$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.97 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.38 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 46c | 1,004$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked 76ers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 49c | 980.38$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 46c | 817.1$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.59 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 52c | 800$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed 76ers | 53c | 600$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.48 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed 76ers | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked 76ers | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 76ers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed 76ers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked 76ers | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed 76ers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pacers | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 76ers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Pacers | 46c | 197.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 47c | 195.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed 76ers | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers | 50c | 122.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked 76ers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed 76ers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed 76ers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pacers | 47c | 96.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Pacers | 43c | 71.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked 76ers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…f89ebacked 76ers | 57c | 59.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Pacers | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…5714backed 76ers | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 58c | 48.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Pacers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 76ers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 44c | 37.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked 76ers | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed 76ers | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Pacers | 46c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Pacers | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked 76ers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed 76ers | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-7.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.