TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9324…7e95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST6358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.08
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+101.4%+$15.2
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Wild vs. Jetsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST5641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$15
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.