NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f16c1d562bb8284f55882ee43231113bca9c30e5d3630792e444cf9e7ba1871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 77,781$37,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,334.84 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 66,000$34,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,680 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 21,219$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,185.07 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 13,461$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.18 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Over | 50c | 11,487$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 50c | 10,406$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.29 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,144$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568.45 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 6,550$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.88 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 51c | 5,743$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Over | 52c | 5,653$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.67 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 50c | 5,402$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.24 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.76 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 4,650$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 4,344$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.97 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Over | 52c | 3,960$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 50c | 2,558$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.8 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,962$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.6 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 51c | 1,461$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.16 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 52c | 1,390$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 49c | 1,235$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.14 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 49c | 995.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.85 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 51c | 862$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.62 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +221.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Under | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 11c | 615.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.8 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Under | 50c | 546.34$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 51c | 450$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 67c | 434.44$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 400.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.17 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 392.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb2…22e0backed Under | 49c | 332.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 45c | 319.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb685…e51fbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed Over | 7c | 190$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…58b9backed Over | 51c | 155.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…935bbacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…8973backed Under | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…c02ebacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked Under | 49c | 103.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Over | 52c | 87.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…56b2backed Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…4d96backed Over | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…ca99backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 22c | 47.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Over | 53c | 45.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Over | 51c | 43.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 52c | 41.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…6e34backed Over | 52c | 40.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…eccfbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5this page
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Steelers won
- Dolphins vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 29.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 30.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 31.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Steelers won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.