NFL · resolved market
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac29009023db8f4bea0ac9ab78b3fa8839e544851f2162b55db0ec6155311c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Steelersof Steelers, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,190,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,175,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,190,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Steelers | 48c | 1,642,971$795,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847,721.31 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 52c | 600,000$309,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309,000 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Dolphins | 52c | 390,000$202,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,800 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 48c | 387,362$185,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,488.57 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Dolphins | 51c | 285,000$146,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,599.79 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Steelers | 49c | 244,444$120,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,888.67 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Dolphins | 51c | 163,374$83,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,320.69 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Dolphins | 52c | 135,407$70,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,509.8 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Dolphins | 52c | 135,349$70,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,381.39 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Dolphins | 52c | 105,801$55,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,007.39 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dolphins | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…1795backed Dolphins | 52c | 92,000$47,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,840 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Steelers | 48c | 88,005$42,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,762.55 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Dolphins | 49c | 83,721$41,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,348.68 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Steelers | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,400 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Steelers | 48c | 69,112$33,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,938.33 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Dolphins | 52c | 49,199$25,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,583.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Dolphins | 53c | 47,000$24,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,835 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Steelers | 48c | 45,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,400 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Dolphins | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dolphins | 51c | 35,300$17,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,900 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…7c29backed Dolphins | 53c | 35,000$18,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Steelers | 48c | 34,555$16,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,968.55 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Steelers | 47c | 34,000$15,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,019.98 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Steelers | 48c | 32,685$15,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,982.3 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins | 53c | 31,679$16,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,793.29 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Steelers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Dolphins | 51c | 25,396$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.67 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Steelers | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Steelers | 49c | 22,500$11,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,475 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Steelers | 47c | 22,000$10,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Dolphins | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Steelers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.97 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Dolphins | 51c | 19,513$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,951.63 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Dolphins | 52c | 17,500$9,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,155 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Steelers | 48c | 15,813$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,222.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Steelers | 48c | 14,605$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594.85 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Dolphins | 53c | 12,792$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dolphins | 52c | 11,019$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.02 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Steelers | 50c | 10,539$5,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Steelers | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Dolphins | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dolphins | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 48c | 6,977$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.22 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dolphins | 52c | 6,153$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.56 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dolphins | 52c | 6,056$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.1 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Dolphins | 52c | 6,000$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Dolphins | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Dolphins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Steelers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dolphins | 5c | 4,950$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Steelers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Dolphins | 49c | 3,923$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.27 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Dolphins | 52c | 3,889$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.36 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Dolphins | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dolphins | 52c | 3,746$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.74 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Dolphins | 52c | 3,580$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.84 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Dolphins | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.99 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Steelers | 49c | 3,395$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dolphins | 5c | 3,341$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Steelers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Dolphins | 51c | 3,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dolphins | 52c | 2,699$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Dolphins | 52c | 2,549$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Dolphins | 53c | 2,518$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.36 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dolphins | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Steelers | 48c | 2,033$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.33 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Steelers | 48c | 2,001$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.53 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Steelers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Dolphins | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Dolphins | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Steelers | 49c | 1,623$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins | 49c | 1,559$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.93 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Dolphins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,460$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Steelers | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Steelers | 47c | 1,283$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ba36backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,202$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,188$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.5 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…1bd1backed Dolphins | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Dolphins | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Dolphins | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Dolphins | 51c | 1,011$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Steelers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Steelers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…fe7bbacked Dolphins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Dolphins | 54c | 920.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Steelers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Dolphins | 53c | 829.57$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.67 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Dolphins | 20c | 764.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Dolphins | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7f…0b18backed Steelers | 48c | 734.97$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Dolphins | 52c | 721.15$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Steelers | 48c | 691.67$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.67 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Dolphins | 54c | 645.22$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.23 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Steelers won
- Dolphins vs. SteelersSteelers won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 20.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 29.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 30.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 31.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 34.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5Over won
- Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Steelers (-5.5)Steelers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.