TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NFL · resolved market

Dolphins vs. Steelers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Dolphins, Steelers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,113,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,154,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,113,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,093 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Steelers63c1,105,364$699,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405,663.6317041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins35c815,134$286,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286,651.1130043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Steelers61c227,181$139,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,494.3686547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Dolphins36c211,460$76,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,125.574250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Dolphins39c128,800$50,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,232250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Dolphins37c119,999$44,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,799.85431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab1d…5d14backed Dolphins38c110,526$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,000.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Dolphins36c100,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,999.994955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Steelers63c98,602$61,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,888.926459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Steelers62c90,000$55,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,199.8731240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Steelers71c68,212$48,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,937.3375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins38c65,500$24,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,889.8416545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Dolphins38c52,632$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Dolphins6c51,013$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.981723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers68c47,297$32,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,913.3973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Steelers62c40,323$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,322.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dolphins38c40,000$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,20014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Dolphins37c39,730$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7002564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Dolphins3c39,701$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.275736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Dolphins37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79f0…964ebacked Dolphins12c30,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Dolphins35c29,876$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.669657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Steelers61c28,000$17,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,82039447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Dolphins15c27,500$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,124.99219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Dolphins38c26,316$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins1c25,608$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2233328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc5…5fcbbacked Dolphins1c25,036$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.896547.7%31 W · 34 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Dolphins38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Steelers62c23,842$14,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,018.0219152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Steelers80c23,788$18,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.8820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Steelers61c22,514$13,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,780.4916955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Dolphins17c21,782$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,804.872544%11 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Dolphins28c21,147$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.892941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Steelers62c20,132$12,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,650.0911445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Steelers62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Dolphins37c20,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.9930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Dolphins37c19,940$7,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,377.856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ac…c62dbacked Dolphins1c19,648$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Dolphins1c19,578$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.781486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Dolphins3c18,600$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.9915132.5%49 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Dolphins28c16,930$4,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,696.2525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Steelers62c16,874$10,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.538164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0154…793bbacked Dolphins3c16,600$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+68.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Dolphins3c16,377$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.97736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Steelers62c16,343$10,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,179.921254.2%115 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Steelers62c16,231$10,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,174.281,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a5…8b78backed Dolphins0c16,160$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Dolphins21c16,049$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4332556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Steelers63c16,006$10,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,858.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Dolphins38c16,000$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0801118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2db…0733backed Steelers62c15,508$9,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,893.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400.0283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4001,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…e4babacked Dolphins37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,550616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Dolphins0c14,882$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.32980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Dolphins4c14,711$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6274240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9dd…3cc5backed Steelers60c14,575$8,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.71931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Steelers73c13,930$10,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Steelers63c13,200$8,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,883.999442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Steelers61c12,685$7,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,904.7831854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5551…5616backed Dolphins39c12,500$4,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,87520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dolphins3c12,369$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Steelers70c12,354$8,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.1827348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…efc3backed Dolphins0c12,200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dolphins18c11,543$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.0350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e8…8509backed Dolphins39c11,500$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Dolphins36c11,111$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.964360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Dolphins4c10,809$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4309135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Steelers64c10,500$6,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8057153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Dolphins38c10,079$3,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.216639.4%26 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Steelers74c10,036$7,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.422343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dolphins38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Dolphins37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70012944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Dolphins3c9,969$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cb…dafebacked Dolphins39c9,968$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Steelers67c9,898$6,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,27711643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Steelers62c9,591$5,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.6953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Dolphins7c9,450$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.168446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec9…4325backed Dolphins30c9,412$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71bd…28c4backed Steelers62c9,000$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfc…7deebacked Dolphins39c8,700$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,39310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Dolphins37c8,500$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,13026650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Steelers62c8,000$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0203271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c68…3dd4backed Dolphins39c7,814$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,047.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Dolphins38c7,589$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.982821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3b59…41c5backed Steelers62c7,400$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c3…56debacked Steelers62c7,171$4,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0856…4d95backed Dolphins38c7,161$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…30cebacked Steelers62c7,100$4,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Dolphins1c6,636$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.111748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd19…1a17backed Dolphins39c6,500$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Dolphins39c6,410$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb284…4292backed Steelers61c6,225$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Steelers63c6,066$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.517147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Steelers63c6,057$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,241.247255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Dolphins10c6,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Dolphins38c5,725$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.492142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x92b1…6695backed Dolphins35c5,709$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc576…21c0backed Steelers62c5,700$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd44…00e4backed Steelers62c5,700$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.