TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$676,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$719,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc03…804cbacked No2c115,590$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.09812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-83.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed No3c41,323$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d6…96f7backed No3c26,775$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed No8c15,430$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.36616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e2…9629backed No5c12,204$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.591020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-64%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked No33c10,867$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c44…fcd4backed No24c10,833$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,570.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f8…ac7bbacked No6c9,347$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.7590%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Yes80c8,952$7,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.471145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…3b2bbacked No6c8,737$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fb…ae3ebacked Yes51c8,356$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.49825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed No18c7,338$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…68e1backed No32c6,266$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed No13c5,767$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked No2c5,429$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.221612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No8c5,234$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c5,159$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.16458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed No21c4,711$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec1…467abacked No1c4,448$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4380%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe757…1e23backed No13c4,208$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x526b…f046backed No12c4,191$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf55…de06backed Yes78c3,869$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed No15c3,746$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.91955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No26c3,738$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No8c3,542$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.794740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab0f…bde4backed No3c3,180$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No10c3,027$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.311323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44d…68acbacked No1c3,012$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6d…f95bbacked No7c2,986$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd2…0bd8backed No5c2,928$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.841020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No22c2,723$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82f8…8066backed No54c2,594$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb259…9fb0backed No11c2,491$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No6c2,437$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb94f…04d8backed No1c2,381$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked No2c2,235$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No6c2,215$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.84714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+228%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No10c2,200$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No18c2,200$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0469…83f5backed No9c2,149$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No1c2,126$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x737f…fbf2backed No1c2,098$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes58c2,092$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a27…e2a0backed No7c2,077$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No6c2,006$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d2…a05bbacked No13c2,003$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e4…f7febacked Yes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41db…1145backed No16c1,935$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa788…b724backed No7c1,874$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed No3c1,830$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed No17c1,792$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d31…2f85backed No7c1,740$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88e5…66b2backed No11c1,727$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.97333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No50c1,631$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac99…7a95backed Yes51c1,609$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.45425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…33a7backed No15c1,583$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe349…514abacked No3c1,551$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes73c1,526$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.12837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-46.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes72c1,500$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed No6c1,500$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed No1c1,445$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No18c1,405$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.281040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b8…c300backed No32c1,368$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ae…a229backed No6c1,350$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No3c1,347$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.29267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98b…7578backed No1c1,315$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…ed20backed No8c1,293$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b0…efa6backed No2c1,270$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No21c1,269$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd85…231bbacked No8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3727…0b44backed No2c1,201$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df4…fb3dbacked No1c1,183$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed No15c1,149$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1091…a259backed No20c1,134$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f26…62f3backed No9c1,123$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…1a98backed No1c1,057$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061a…ee1ebacked No10c1,046$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…63acbacked No8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes69c999.98$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c3…1e41backed No12c988.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bfe…c44dbacked No16c908.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes73c860.82$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee08…b85ebacked No5c833.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd1c…61d7backed No12c809.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…af05backed Yes76c800$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb156…7458backed No12c798.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…2f28backed No5c777.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No8c762.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No1c749.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045a…ea80backed No13c748.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…f179backed Yes77c738.14$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.145100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd9e…3d48backed No6c713.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7790…e3a0backed No15c669.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d3…40d8backed No30c667.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x872e…73d7backed No9c666.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5938…96e6backed No31c654.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed No28c640$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.680%0 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.