NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b26dfa72c37fcf2a32e868e15d62a6e31e1297db51f012cd8c97ec2405ee1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 49c | 20,000$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 51c | 13,862$7,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,016.04 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 51c | 10,940$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pistons | 50c | 10,103$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.94 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Pistons | 49c | 8,128$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.45 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Pistons | 59c | 7,999$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.51 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 37c | 4,519$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.07 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,498$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Hornets | 50c | 4,382$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets | 50c | 2,829$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.4 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 51c | 2,792$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 51c | 2,784$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.69 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 49c | 2,312$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d8…4867backed Hornets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…c4acbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,710$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Hornets | 51c | 1,571$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Hornets | 3c | 1,548$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Pistons | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Hornets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hornets | 50c | 929$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Pistons | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pistons | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Pistons | 74c | 679.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pistons | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Pistons | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Hornets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 33c | 507$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.69 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Hornets | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons | 49c | 320.16$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Hornets | 50c | 320$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Hornets | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Hornets | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hornets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 44c | 252.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Pistons | 49c | 251.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pistons | 43c | 213.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pistons | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Hornets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets | 51c | 192.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Hornets | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…dc0fbacked Hornets | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Hornets | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 49c | 131.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Hornets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Pistons | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +43%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hornets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Hornets | 53c | 95.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Hornets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Hornets | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 48c | 76.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pistons | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Pistons | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Pistons | 49c | 61.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Hornets | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Hornets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…0997backed Hornets | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hornets | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Pistons | 49c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 51c | 45.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Hornets | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Hornets | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons | 50c | 40.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Pistons | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Hornets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7e95backed Hornets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 50c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…01bdbacked Hornets | 52c | 31.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…e072backed Hornets | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Hornets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hornets | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Hornets | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Hornets | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…4b51backed Pistons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Hornets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.