TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Pistons49c20,000$9,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,149.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets51c13,862$7,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,016.0474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets51c11,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets51c10,940$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.22,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pistons50c10,103$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,095.9417658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Pistons49c8,128$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.4514549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Pistons59c7,999$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.516352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets37c4,519$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.071,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons49c4,498$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Hornets50c4,382$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19115855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets50c2,829$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets51c2,792$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42182442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Hornets51c2,784$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.6951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2751,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets49c2,312$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8276746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d8…4867backed Hornets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Pistons51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7812341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons49c1,959$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3024…c4acbacked Pistons49c1,710$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Hornets51c1,571$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80124051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Hornets3c1,548$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4439018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Pistons49c990$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.958951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Hornets51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets50c929$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Pistons49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3312650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Pistons50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Pistons74c679.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.855646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons49c650$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Hornets50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Pistons50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Hornets51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons33c507$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons49c499.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.992,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Hornets51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Hornets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Hornets50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons49c320.16$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Hornets50c320$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Hornets13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Hornets51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Hornets51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets44c252.73$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Pistons49c251.9$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4716837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pistons43c213.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pistons49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Hornets51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10236854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Hornets50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Hornets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hornets51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Pistons51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0823948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets51c192.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Hornets10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aef…dc0fbacked Hornets51c147.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Hornets52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons49c131.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.073,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Hornets50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Pistons49c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.088251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Hornets52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5262848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Hornets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe132…7a38backed Pistons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+43%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Hornets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Hornets51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Hornets53c95.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Hornets51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Hornets51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons48c76.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.014,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Pistons49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.795548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Pistons50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3516849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Pistons49c61.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.210652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Hornets51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Hornets51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.58943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832d…0997backed Hornets52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Hornets52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Pistons49c49.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2518053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons51c45.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Hornets52c42.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Hornets51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons50c40.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdc7…31c0backed Hornets50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208746%40 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a4…7e2dbacked Pistons50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Hornets51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9324…7e95backed Hornets51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets50c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.321,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d76…01bdbacked Hornets52c31.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+59.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…e072backed Hornets51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7590…d6e0backed Hornets51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Hornets50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Hornets44c23.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Hornets58c22.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…4b51backed Pistons50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.