NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8831a111c55fd796ef43abd174cafd4586d481a8e81c4788c76062377aa7915e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 50c | 20,994$10,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,497.12 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 16,961$8,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,917.86 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…9b10backed Under | 50c | 10,007$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…4612backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…ba0abacked Under | 51c | 9,812$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 7,006$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 6,371$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.9 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…3618backed Under | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,634$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…6c62backed Under | 51c | 4,098$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 3,618$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.12 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Over | 57c | 2,202$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 47c | 704$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.12 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 3c | 658$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 41c | 657$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.44 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 406$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 399$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 47c | 221$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 62c | 219$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…a66dbacked Under | 50c | 199.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 178$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Over | 53c | 151.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 48c | 59.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 57.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 47c | 52.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Over | 51c | 50.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 53c | 48.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 48.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 47c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 44c | 28.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…351fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Hornets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.