NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaadacdcc5831009617b3415718fd393868343a3dd25a73771c44c1657d38b0f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 54c | 10,810$5,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.79 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hornets | 48c | 5,268$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.12 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Pistons | 54c | 3,519$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.52 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hornets | 46c | 3,228$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.88 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,091$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.94 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Pistons | 53c | 718.43$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.66 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pistons | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Pistons | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Hornets | 46c | 577$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Hornets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 44c | 440$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 46c | 399$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 53c | 353.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.18 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 46c | 331.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 49c | 310.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Hornets | 46c | 292$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Pistons | 51c | 236.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pistons | 51c | 215$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Hornets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 46c | 146.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Pistons | 70c | 131.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Hornets | 52c | 124.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Pistons | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hornets | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 30c | 91.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pistons | 51c | 91.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 50c | 77.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad89backed Pistons | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Pistons | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 55c | 54.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 52c | 49.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 53c | 46.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Hornets | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hornets | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…aadcbacked Pistons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…279fbacked Pistons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 54c | 27.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Pistons | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Pistons | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Hornets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.