TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$862,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$900,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets20c161,275$32,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,249.0672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets19c54,346$10,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,538.2151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons80c50,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons80c26,497$21,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,429.35,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets19c26,302$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.4674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets19c26,118$4,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,962.4187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons80c25,708$20,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c24,047$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.298820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Pistons80c23,000$18,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets14c22,657$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.711,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Hornets20c15,990$3,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c51…087cbacked Pistons80c15,990$12,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1981540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Pistons79c14,792$11,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.3113455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hornets25c14,237$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510.0634062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Hornets19c13,861$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.9347028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets6c11,138$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.191,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets19c11,110$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.4536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons80c10,481$8,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.542,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Hornets1c10,463$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.28348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pistons80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b5…316bbacked Hornets11c7,877$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.342934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hornets4c7,300$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2327917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets16c6,866$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.8982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Hornets6c6,650$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Hornets0c6,600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Pistons80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Hornets11c6,134$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70521923.7%52 W · 167 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons77c5,998$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.971,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Pistons80c5,201$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.219560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…ebd9backed Hornets21c5,119$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0751040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pistons80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…95b8backed Hornets20c5,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf7…adcdbacked Hornets20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Hornets19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95027424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd230…d077backed Pistons77c4,998$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick35cpaid+187.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons79c4,800$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets21c4,623$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.781,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets19c4,308$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.2748944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hornets11c4,071$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5334227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Hornets18c3,460$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3937944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0140…f773backed Hornets19c3,216$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.185433.3%18 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets22c3,202$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.363,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Pistons79c3,169$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.6627758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons80c3,090$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Hornets21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63010837%40 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…c852backed Hornets22c3,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets21c2,968$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.582,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Hornets7c2,938$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2542640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hornets24c2,901$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.4748046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Pistons80c2,875$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57524151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9640…d0e8backed Hornets19c2,700$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Pistons78c2,688$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.118453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pistons80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4f…f290backed Hornets23c2,376$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.473237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets4c2,298$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets7c2,142$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pistons80c2,112$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5430947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Hornets14c2,109$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2914254.9%78 W · 64 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Hornets19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons80c2,000$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Hornets20c1,902$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3317658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2fb…702ebacked Hornets20c1,900$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806758.2%39 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets2c1,829$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.923,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Pistons78c1,704$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.817141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182c…165ebacked Hornets19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011261.6%69 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Hornets2c1,512$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Hornets23c1,511$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7725146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9daa…5fb4backed Hornets5c1,510$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Hornets19c1,421$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee87…09adbacked Hornets20c1,400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28013052.3%68 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Hornets2c1,388$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5423630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets1c1,357$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Hornets25c1,352$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.896352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…266fbacked Hornets20c1,300$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606561.5%40 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3e…d195backed Hornets19c1,300$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2471127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons80c1,293$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets24c1,274$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f96…0f14backed Hornets19c1,267$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.73742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Pistons80c1,263$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.69260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a75fbacked Pistons80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1668…dbb1backed Pistons80c1,188$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…da96backed Hornets21c1,176$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e42…a850backed Hornets19c1,158$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hornets26c1,153$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6750838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Hornets18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3106…51ecbacked Hornets20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc02…e0d4backed Hornets19c1,080$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015238.8%59 W · 93 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Hornets21c1,067$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110a…c654backed Hornets19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015255.9%85 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe114…5763backed Hornets15c1,008$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Hornets20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026729.2%78 W · 189 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad07…f121backed Hornets19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hornets21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb49d…efe6backed Hornets20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb23a…9a75backed Hornets2c999.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.