TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x832d…0997

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.77
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.31
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$75.12
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$200.31
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.95
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.13
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+48.4%+$12.09
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.03
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajdabacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.81
Wuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayenibacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.59
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$7.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$17.8
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+83.5%+$16.7
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Nexus (BO3)backed Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$32.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.