NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f3c756cd213e59dbd8d4227499f7289d24e15f8fa7031d3dc60f7236d4fefd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 51c | 100,000$50,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,998.96 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raptors | 49c | 93,866$45,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,871.82 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Raptors | 48c | 91,484$43,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,508.06 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pacers | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 52c | 30,729$15,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,979.13 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 52c | 23,351$12,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,246.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers | 51c | 22,797$11,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,626.66 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 48c | 9,840$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 50c | 7,609$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782.67 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 50c | 6,396$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.22 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Raptors | 39c | 5,263$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.72 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers | 51c | 4,855$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.88 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 49c | 4,326$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.98 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Raptors | 48c | 4,182$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.89 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Pacers | 53c | 4,163$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.13 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pacers | 50c | 4,042$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Raptors | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.96 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Raptors | 50c | 3,973$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.51 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pacers | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.8 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Pacers | 50c | 3,223$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.55 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…dff9backed Raptors | 47c | 3,106$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Pacers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 55c | 2,694$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Raptors | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 51c | 2,326$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.74 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,321$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Raptors | 57c | 2,304$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.46 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pacers | 51c | 2,301$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Pacers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 50c | 1,991$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.7 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…797abacked Raptors | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers | 52c | 1,383$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Pacers | 49c | 1,354$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.64 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pacers | 51c | 1,286$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.14 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…4332backed Pacers | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Raptors | 45c | 1,211$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Pacers | 50c | 1,206$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.77 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 41c | 1,121$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pacers | 57c | 1,077$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.75 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Pacers | 56c | 1,067$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Pacers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 46c | 1,011$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Pacers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pacers | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.15 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…6102backed Pacers | 49c | 938$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…6984backed Raptors | 51c | 936$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…3947backed Pacers | 49c | 903$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Raptors | 48c | 872.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Pacers | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a9…7b04backed Raptors | 51c | 856$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Raptors | 48c | 827.08$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Raptors | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…f946backed Pacers | 49c | 766$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c7…2d87backed Raptors | 51c | 759$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 54c | 752.21$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…0555backed Raptors | 51c | 738$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…e36dbacked Pacers | 49c | 682$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Pacers | 58c | 656$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.48 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Raptors | 77c | 607.01$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pacers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Pacers | 52c | 469.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Pacers | 38c | 439.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Raptors | 66c | 436.91$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Raptors | 52c | 434.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Raptors | 43c | 430$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 49c | 429.06$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.24 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Raptors | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Raptors | 49c | 407.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.44 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors | 41c | 400$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 48c | 395.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pacers | 50c | 386.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Pacers | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Raptors | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Pacers | 58c | 334.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raptors | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Raptors | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pacers | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Raptors | 49c | 289$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.39 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Pacers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Pacers | 52c | 242.72$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pacers | 7c | 238.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…59f1backed Raptors | 48c | 237.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Raptors | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pacers | 31c | 231.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Pacers | 53c | 228.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Raptors | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raptors | 62c | 217.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Raptors | 46c | 205.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Raptors | 79c | 196.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…10a0backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…9175backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Pacers | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Raptors | 55c | 182.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 78c | 180.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Pacers | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Pacers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- Raptors vs. PacersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.