TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c27,293$13,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,503.71,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00021250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c11,477$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under51c9,169$4,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.8838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c8,619$4,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Over50c7,990$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.14238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4006…0deabacked Under52c4,834$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2c4fbacked Under52c4,593$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c4,360$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.053,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under52c3,365$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.3822035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…c82ebacked Under52c3,236$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6003…2ce9backed Under52c3,234$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda83…3a35backed Under52c3,065$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…2376backed Under52c3,050$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4406767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under52c2,873$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.1329347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c2,718$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.482,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb97…8aeabacked Under51c2,463$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf32…7e52backed Over49c2,365$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed77…699ebacked Under52c2,363$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x554b…6beebacked Over48c2,355$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa894…6818backed Over49c2,345$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6913…2a4cbacked Under51c2,247$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…5384backed Under52c2,203$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e2…35bdbacked Under52c2,174$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a67…c54fbacked Over48c2,122$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c2,115$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0308,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…e9afbacked Over48c2,113$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29d5…759ebacked Under52c2,088$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c2,052$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.222,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over49c2,040$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8b…1924backed Over48c2,023$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…09c4backed Over48c2,015$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,005$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.295,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac20…0714backed Under52c1,999$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x407f…b34dbacked Over48c1,998$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c1,953$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.272,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c1,919$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.6958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8914…95f0backed Over48c1,877$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb796…27c4backed Under52c1,875$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x579d…3a38backed Under52c1,801$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Over45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.63246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0725…cdb1backed Over48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Under53c1,521$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.731241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7425…c079backed Over47c1,519$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fb…387fbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Under52c1,476$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.483348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under54c1,400$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64716053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6861,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…5036backed Under52c1,352$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+77.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6674…45b5backed Under52c1,321$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa029…8ea8backed Under52c1,295$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…5e6cbacked Under52c1,274$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfd…cfe4backed Over48c1,271$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4448…4796backed Over48c1,246$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4634…ec65backed Over48c1,241$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc89e…e960backed Over48c1,197$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over43c1,175$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.2637944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ad…5092backed Over48c1,162$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbce3…946dbacked Over48c1,150$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16c…8ec4backed Over48c1,128$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under54c1,108$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.7715756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x486c…d48dbacked Over48c1,087$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd78…a4d0backed Over48c1,085$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c76…cc7bbacked Over48c1,076$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd056…6045backed Over48c1,067$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd8…aed5backed Over48c1,045$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd61d…2de5backed Over48c1,024$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00af…da7ebacked Over48c1,023$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0450%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb418…5039backed Over48c1,022$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a8…28abbacked Over48c1,003$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa061…f95abacked Over48c998$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3a1…9596backed Over48c902$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3490…7fdcbacked Over48c901$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under50c895.52$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.7651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e1…76f1backed Over48c893$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…14a3backed Over48c889$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Over51c883.67$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.673961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0cb…ec69backed Over48c879$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6c…3545backed Under52c877$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under50c876.44$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.2223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11bb…e782backed Over48c865$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under52c830.34$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c818$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6d…0398backed Over48c794$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Over46c600$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2775450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under50c501.56$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c391.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over48c378$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.441,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…5a74backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.887554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e5…fbaebacked Over48c325$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…b139backed Over48c299$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Under61c292$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8825847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…6817backed Under52c269$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…0847backed Under52c266$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3d…3281backed Under52c259$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…e127backed Over48c253$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.