NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf004b4f17002967c22d0b20688e409558050c098d60ba1ea470845871ce3e4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 19,714$9,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,633.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Under | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 53c | 14,216$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.97 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 50c | 11,020$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 10,890$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.15 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 6,873$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 5,802$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 5,329$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.8 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 3,767$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.25 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 3,746$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.83 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 2,606$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,411$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.19 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 867$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 743$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 50c | 689.47$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.74 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 48c | 353.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 306.41$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 196.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Under | 51c | 155.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 124.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 48c | 71.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Under | 54c | 69.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 60.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 50.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 43.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 51c | 32.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 31.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 56c | 30.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 49c | 27.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 48c | 27.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5this page
- Raptors vs. PacersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.