TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c14,878$6,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,953.639,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c14,662$7,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8041,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4a…9b9ebacked Under53c11,243$5,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Under54c11,000$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.096767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe427…a00abacked Over46c11,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0601050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7873…ed08backed Over46c10,888$5,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c9,123$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c5,148$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.032,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over46c5,092$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.413,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…8ec4backed Under54c4,884$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e1…76f1backed Under54c4,693$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c76…cc7bbacked Under54c3,257$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0cb…ec69backed Under54c3,056$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6913…2a4cbacked Over47c2,812$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa894…6818backed Under53c2,777$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef6…9e33backed Over47c2,556$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf32…7e52backed Under53c2,544$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb97…8aeabacked Over47c2,509$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b4…89aabacked Under53c2,505$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0718…274abacked Under53c2,411$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eff…db0fbacked Over47c2,360$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b3…96c8backed Over46c2,345$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under51c2,301$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.4958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fc…c91dbacked Under54c2,255$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc439…c5adbacked Under54c2,244$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1285…92c1backed Over46c2,122$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf44f…d6d7backed Over47c2,119$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde83…82f8backed Under53c2,119$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aae…1547backed Over46c2,088$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c2…5ca2backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f9c…5609backed Under54c1,895$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f1…18febacked Under54c1,663$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3d…4ab1backed Over45c1,482$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.821323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Under55c1,482$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf0…01b5backed Over46c1,478$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4006…0deabacked Over46c1,450$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2c4fbacked Over46c1,400$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1746…4a26backed Over46c1,399$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.54850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe416…0b86backed Under54c1,375$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11bb…e782backed Over46c1,241$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.86520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cfd…cfe4backed Over46c1,238$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.4850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10a8…28abbacked Over46c1,197$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.62520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ad…5092backed Over46c1,143$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4634…ec65backed Over46c1,128$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a06…14a3backed Over46c1,102$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61d…2de5backed Over46c1,055$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a24…0585backed Over46c1,054$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e91…d686backed Under54c1,052$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0446…b589backed Under54c1,033$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.18650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4a…f29dbacked Over46c1,023$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b6…a445backed Under54c1,020$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9fb…387fbacked Over46c1,003$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c1,002$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5099…7d87backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20405%2 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…4f1dbacked Over46c996$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…0be9backed Over46c986$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.56650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38d…a6e3backed Under54c954$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…c82ebacked Over46c917$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89e…e960backed Over46c893$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0725…cdb1backed Over46c865$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda83…3a35backed Over46c858$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over40c733.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5918438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c491.88$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.592,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c415.04$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.582,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c414.4$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over76c391$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.232,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.662,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Under58c346.55$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.559658.3%56 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c286$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c274.69$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c234.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under50c232$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over41c217.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0724846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under73c211.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3414252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under54c205$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.348054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Under63c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under54c198.14$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over47c192.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.577959.5%47 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3344…9175backed Under56c170.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Under55c169.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2810454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over48c167.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb165…1f21backed Under60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf400…1620backed Under50c157.25$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.052343.5%10 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under58c152.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under59c151.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.977454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under46c148.06$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…7adfbacked Under54c138.21$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf002…a69abacked Over46c138.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Over45c129.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913735.8%49 W · 88 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over43c129.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.881,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9137352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f7…0899backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over62c89.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.492,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under55c85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.254645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.