CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf07bdae5265044a77ae253b442ee4474ee9d680abea1932d9791114605885aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof ALGO Esports, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.8 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.84 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,124$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.77 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked ALGO Esports | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 802$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ALGO Esports | 50c | 782.47$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.75 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 566.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 510$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 501.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.48 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ALGO Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 409.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 386$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked ALGO Esports | 63c | 297.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 274.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 204.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed ALGO Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed ALGO Esports | 51c | 185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 141.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked ALGO Esports | 11c | 108.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ALGO Esports | 67c | 108.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed ALGO Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…2ff0backed ALGO Esports | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 99.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed ALGO Esports | 50c | 87.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ALGO Esports | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 46.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…0997backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3276…1fa6backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked ALGO Esports | 54c | 36.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed ALGO Esports | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 22.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.