TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f5f…e7f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Olympics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST5236.5%19 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ENCE (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group Bbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+156.7%+$64.09
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.11
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Alliance (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.82
Counter-Strike: OG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75.29
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$91.44
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks (BO3)backed Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ALLINNERS (BO3)backed ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$42.9
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$60
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$14
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+130.4%+$28.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Raptors vs. Nets: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume Munarbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.85
Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.52
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$94
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75.47
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$3.32
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$79.2
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+201.7%+$46.8
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$34.95
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$32.49
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
All 24 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+287.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+89.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.