TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,099 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04dc…ee8dbacked Over49c12,706$6,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over48c11,059$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,308.2925248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c33…e013backed Over48c10,425$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,004.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbb…08fabacked Over48c10,398$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under51c9,197$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.712,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c8,595$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.531,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c8,592$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.239,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c8,190$3,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,443.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under53c7,357$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,471.3618345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf745…a87fbacked Over48c4,980$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c4,504$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.112,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c3,100$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4571,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44017744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1702…4666backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c2,464$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.082,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9805736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over47c1,989$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.8748347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1821852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c1,397$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.483,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f3…2e67backed Over48c1,167$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa59f…d53cbacked Over49c1,055$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,051$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over51c1,012$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,008$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.192,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3033…eda3backed Over49c906.12$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over5c791.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.151,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over48c714$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7240952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c664$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under51c636.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1285147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c622.45$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30535749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under51c501.21$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under44c473.56$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2552643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c380.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Under56c360.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.153542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe38…f858backed Under69c342.93$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+66.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over47c293.62$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over49c209.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8238347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.553,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc60d…8887backed Over58c206.03$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.55223.1%12 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over47c199.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9914145.4%64 W · 77 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c158.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.911,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under57c133$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.198752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over45c105.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4762848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Under49c99.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.995550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e6…224cbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.348852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under55c90.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Over46c88.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5511361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…4108backed Over70c82.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f5f…e7f9backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1819548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Over49c69.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.272450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.754247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under54c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.388852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c2…8efabacked Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5b7…c02cbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under53c46.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.071,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over42c45.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2314137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Under46c43.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5418240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6414727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Over43c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.483850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Over43c31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Over46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over43c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.183171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1185449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under56c22.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7632743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a57…4f76backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.