TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$359,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Under48c126,604$60,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,995.034961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over52c116,471$60,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,565.0825248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Under48c62,500$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,499.8311535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c56,092$29,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,167.631,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over49c14,215$6,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,903.3836248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c12,039$5,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,260.592,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c10,500$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4601,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over53c10,183$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,396.9929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over50c8,009$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,01412151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over1c7,916$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1629810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c7,899$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.242,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c7,550$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under50c6,378$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.8119958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under51c6,122$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.7848347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c4,588$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over52c4,538$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over49c4,222$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.7874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00017658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247c…ad22backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c3,666$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.271,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf745…a87fbacked Over50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over54c3,123$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.225945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under49c2,960$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.281,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over51c2,588$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.8829652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under50c2,245$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over2c2,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…b736backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x306f…3393backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under46c1,514$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.5685147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over52c1,512$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.222,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4acb…ddd3backed Over51c1,246$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.035736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c1,015$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.523,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Over2c900$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204413.6%6 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over51c723.53$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3698853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Over2c700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17568.9%5 W · 51 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37149142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Over53c697.53$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.859450%47 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c671.32$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.62,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over51c630$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Under49c615.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.826560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c613$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.896,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c604$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over50c603.92$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9221749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over52c595$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d04…09f8backed Under50c405$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5391…7393backed Over51c405$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+38.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23627247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6223248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over52c364$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under53c346.86$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0218651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under48c330.19$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3513945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Under49c316.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.333441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c300$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under8c266.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Over52c207$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.642347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97a…a688backed Over51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10618656.5%105 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c199.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over52c193.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3123948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c2…895fbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over54c170.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.316448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under47c146.81$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8128949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over50c116.32$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.071,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under50c112.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1318053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over65c110$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.571044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd1…2739backed Under48c103.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.14257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068e…6d88backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under50c100.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0163427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b0…e5efbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+119.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6422…a346backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2fb8…fde3backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under50c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over54c94.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0518536.2%67 W · 118 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.912952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Under49c86.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c62…01a3backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa973…f639backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under46c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.868050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0622backed Over48c58.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815140.4%61 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Over22c51.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.544139%16 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.