TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc368…0622

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT15140.4%61 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.84
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+116%+$40.6
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+77.4%+$9.6
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$53.8
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+204.3%+$30.64
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+128.8%+$25.77
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+97.6%+$18.54
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.3%+$35.34
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Warriors vs. Bulls: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Nuggets vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+209.6%+$41.92
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+300%+$47.5
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+91.5%+$27.45
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$24.63
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.43
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.41
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$29.31
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+51.1%+$15.32
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.84
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+133%+$21.29
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+29.3%+$32.22
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$77.45
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$9.47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+400.7%+$47.52
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$6.22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+378.3%+$60.52
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+45.3%+$9.07
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. Boston Collegebacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Florida Atlantic vs. Ricebacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+195.4%+$26.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.